Kungani ekuphumeni dollar?

Ake uqale nge umlando. Phakathi neMpi Yezwe II amazwe azihlanganisa kwamiswa ngaphansi kwegama kohlelo Bretton Woods. Khulumela kwaba le: dollar isibe lwemali global futhi usekelwa igolide. Uhlelo kwaba nolungenakunyakaziswa kuze nineties zakuqala, ke ongakabi bethembela ibhalansi kwaneliswe isidingo. Kusukela ngaleso sikhathi dollar liphuma khona. Futhi sikhulela njalo, ngalesikhatsi kuchutjekwa nekwenta kube main reserve currency lamabhange kakhulu emhlabeni, kuhlanganise eRussia.

Kungani ekuphumeni dollar? Ukunciphisa (futhi ngezinye izikhathi ngisho nokuqedwa) kwamanye amazwe izimpahla (kuhlanganise Bric) phambili ukuthengisa lwemali ngamaRandi. Lokhu kwandisa ngokuzenzakalela ukufuneka dollar. Esinye isizathu sokusetshenziswa - ukudayiswa yi-US Treasury izibopho lalo. Umnotho US buyaqhubeka esikhulu kunazo zonke emhlabeni, njengesibonelo kwabanye.

umphakathi American mhlawumbe entsha kakhulu. Kuyinto lesi sici ikuvumela ukuba ngokushesha ziyaphuma crisis. Futhi lokhu izinga siyaqhubeka ugqozi enkolelweni zimali 'emandleni lwemali US, yingakho dollar liyakhuphuka. Yiqiniso, bazithola ntanta kunoma isiphi isimo, emnothweni edonsela iso zimali esiqine emhlabeni wonke. Futhi leli qiniso kwenza kube nokwenzeka ukuba ukhulume ukuzinza kuzo zonke izimo.

Qhubekela phambili. Umthetho kuyasifanelekela kwezimpahla kanye nemali lapho mikhiqizo angathengwa, ngandlela-thile modified. Manje ubizwa wacasulwa amazinga isethi exchange. Kodwa inkambo okumelwe kunqunywa Exchange ezaziwayo.

Kubonakala sengathi isimo esibucayi US ayizange bayishaya indiva. Nalapha futhi, kwazeke ucabanga, ukungaqashwa nokungeneli isabelomali. Kodwa kwakungegazi dollar ikakhulukazi isiqongo amangalelwe nobukhulu bale nkinga. Paradox? Awa, akusinjalo. Ngokuqonda izimbangela nokuthathe kwenza izinga lokhula, sizokwenza ukuphendula umbuzo eyisisekelo kungani dollar lukhula.

Uma ngaphansi kwalezi zimo emnothweni US laqhubeka landa, dollar obungenza nje amba eqolo. Kodwa kunezinye izici adlale indima counterweight: falling amanani kawoyela, kukhona ukwehla emnothweni wonke amanye amazwe.

Kodwa intengo lwemali siyaqhubeka sikhula. Kungani? Abatshali bezimali baye engasenandaba intengo falling lamafutha, ushintshele ku-dollar. I dollar, njengoba lezimpahla, obonwa umhlaba wonke, isibe ikhange nakakhulu nje ngenxa yezindleko zayo ongaphakeme ngalesi sikhathi. Lokhu unxusa umbuzo wokuthi kungani dollar ukhula, kodwa hhayi i-euro? Kulula: euro - lwemali kuhle abasha, kodwa dollar ku ikhadi trump - trust wakudala nokubonwa, ngakho ngisho kuwa, yena uzohlala eziqine kakhulu emhlabeni. Ngaphezu kwalokho, uhlu olude izikweletu angaphandle akuvumeli US hamba ayinamali. Zonke sihlanganise ukuchaza ushintsho iphango zimali futhi efanele, ukukhula lwemali amanani.

Le nqubo kungase futhi kubhekwe njengesibonelo of the ruble-dollar. Kuleminyaka 2012 lapho ruble ongaziwa simelane Central Bank kwehla ngo-18%, ngokuqhubeka iwe olwengeziwe. Kungani dollar andayo, ruble uwe, niyeke le nqubo nhlobo? Kungani ibhange central akanandaba kokuwa lwemali kazwelonke - Ruble?

Ochwepheshe abaningi kwezomnotho ukhombe European isikweletu nenhlekelele uphoqe encishisiwe uwoyela. Kodwa lokhu kumane nje kuyingxenye encane yeqiniso. Ngesisekelo emnothweni Russian - nokuthengiswa. Ukuzinza kulomkhakha kufanele kube, ngemcondvo, umsebenzi №1. Kodwa konke okwenzeka abathuthi kuphela uhlangothi, kulapho ukuze ingxenye enkulu kakade wathola inzuzo kusuka nokuthengiswa kuyinto phesheya. Futhi leli qiniso kwenza kungabi kungenzeka ukwakha umcamelo ukulondeka ngokwezimali i extra 18-20% (noma ngaphezulu).

Ngesikhathi esifanayo, futhi yisigwebo befisa zezimali, umxhwele ngale mali kulula ku umdlalo zenzalo. "Indiza Capital" kuyinto ingxoxo kangaka, empeleni ekhangayo kwezilwandle dollar sokubolekwayo. Futhi nakuba ingxenye psevdokreditami siqu nezinkampani zabo sogu lolwandle, bona bakamalalahlengezela ucime. Ngaphansi ingcindezi ukubolekisa, kungani uhulumeni engabathandi ukugcina phesheya ivolumu efanayo reserves isimo ukuze ugweme ingozi yokuyekethisa kwawo okungalawulwa phezu ruble. Ukuqedwa yangasese lwemali loan kancane likwazi ukuboshwa nokuqaqwa izandla, esinciphisa isidingo ngumnikazi tekusisa West, kanjalo bawulethele out of a kungenzeka ushaye siqu izimali zabo isimo. Futhi - inzuzo double: ruble dollar ngamunye CB mkhulu, futhi zigcine isimo kakade Awukwazi ukuhlobanisa wokugoqa kungenzeka kohlelo lwezezimali kwezincwadi eNtshonalanga. Ngakho-ke, njengoba stolidly ukubukela Central Bank ukuze ukugembula dollar ukuthenga, ukususa "angaphandle iphepha ezinemibala." Nokho, nge 30,76 ruble lalingabulawa kalula "gxuma 'kuze kufinyelele 40 dollar ngalinye, kokuba wajabulisa ingozi-abanazo.

Manje ake ubuyele embulungeni yonke. Lokho kuqhakambisa ngokwayo kwasekuqaleni? kusebentisana Okugcwele ukuhamba kuzo zonke izimakethe. Nge ekukhuleni dollar uwela euro, amabhondi, uwoyela, igolide. Futhi isizathu - phezu: US waphelelwa yimali. Yiqiniso, ungaphrinta nabo, kodwa isimo ye-United States ukuze kangcono asishintshi: isidingo refinance ukumnika ezivela kwamanye amazwe, indlela kuphela esikhundleni ezinye izikweletu zangaphandle. Kufanele kube uhlelo ecacile ukusebenza US Federal Reserve - US amabhange - amabhange European - isabelomali US. imali Mahhala kusuka amabhange European engahlali, futhi-European Central Bank, bakwazi ukulinganisela daba, ngasizathu simbe, iye yephuza ukungena emshinini wakho. IMelika isalokhu shake konke iziteshi ngomzamo ukuvimbela ukuwa engalawuliwe dollar, nkinga zezimali kuzo zonke izimakethe futhi amazwe. Lena enye impendulo yombuzo othi kungani dollar lukhula.

Kungenzeka ukuthi uma ugijima yokunyathelisa ye ECB ekulinganiseni isimo. Sizobe ulinde ...