Isiqondiso se-Ichimoku. "Forex" kubadayisi bokuqala nabatshalizimali

Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, noma isibonakaliso se-Ichimoku, ingenye yezimpahla ezijwayelekile ezifakwe ezindaweni ezithile zokuhweba. Kungenxa yesigaba sezinkomba zezobuchwepheshe zokuhlaziywa kwemakethe yokushintshwa kwamanye amazwe "Forex". Uma kungekho isitifiketi sokusabalalisa esibulalayo, ungayilanda kalula ku-intanethi. Ithuluzi lokuhweba litholakala esidlangalaleni.

Ukuvakasha kumlando

Umthuthukisi welo hlelo ngumthengisi ovela eJapane Goichi Hosoda. Ihlelwe emuva eminyakeni engama-30, i-Ichimoku-inkomba yashintshwa ekuqaleni ekuhwebeni ezimakethe zamasheya ngamathemba ahlala isikhathi eside. Lokhu kungenxa yokuthi inzuzo yabatshalizimali yanikezwa ukutshala izimali ezitokisini isikhathi eside. Isibonisi sihlaziya ukunyakaza kwemakethe kulo nyaka wonke wokuhweba. Inkomba yasetshenziselwa ukuhlaziya nokubikezela imakethe yamasheya eJapane. Ngemva kwesikhashana, isimiso se-Ichimoku sakhiwa kabusha ngezimakethe zezimali zangaphandle futhi saqala ukubonisa imiphumela emihle yokuhweba hhayi kuphela ngeviki, kodwa futhi nasemashadi wansuku zonke.

Incazelo

Isiqondiso se-Ichimoku sihlanganisa izinketho eziningana zokuhlaziya imakethe. Isetshenziselwa ukunquma izitayela (ngokusekelwa kanye nemigqa yokumelana ehlangene). Ngesizo salo, izimpawu zokuthengwa nokudayiswa kwezinsimbi ezahlukene zokuhweba zenziwa. Isici esikhethekile saloluhlelo yikhono layo eliyingqayizivele lokubukisa ulwazi mayelana nombuso wemakethe kumthengisi. Ukusebenza kwalolu hlelo kukuvumela ukuba ushintshe imibala yemigqa namafu. Umhwebi ngamunye angakhetha i-gamut yombala ezobonakala kalula ngaye.

Ukwakhiwa kwethuluzi lokuhlaziya lobuchwepheshe

Lolu hlelo lwakhiwe ngezikhathi ezintathu, okuhluke ngesikhathi: 9, 26 no-52. Imigqa, esekelwe kumanani amanani ajwayelekile, avunyelwe ukuthuthukisa indlela enembile kakhulu yabahlaziyi bemakethe. Ukusabalalisa kunokufana okufana nethimba elinjalo njenge-Moving Average. Umehluko kuphela kwimingcele okufanele isethwe. Nakuba izindlela zokuhamba ezihambayo zisebenzisa isilinganiso sama-arithmetic samanani, isimiso se-Ichimoku sisekelwe ezinkomba eziphakathi kwezinga lentengo. Lokhu kukuvumela ukuba uqede inkinga ehlobene ne-lag yenkomba kusuka eshadini lentengo.

Imigqa ye-Ichimoku

Imigqa ye-Ichimoku iyisisekelo sokwabiwa konke. Njengoba kubhaliwe ekuqaleni, zisekelwe ezikhathini ezahlukene. Eminye imigqa emihlanu, uhlelo lombala lwakhiwe. Izindawo eziphakathi kwezibili zomugqa zithuthukile ngemibala ehlukene. Igridi ikhonjiswe eshadini lokunyakaza kwamanani.

Ukuhlaziywa okuningiliziwe kwemakethe kuqhutshwa ngokusekelwe kwendawo yemishayo ehambelana nezimpawu zenkomba.

• I-Tenkan-Sen ingu-line yokuguqula isimo, okuyinto, ngokuhlelwa kwezilungiselelo ezijwayelekile, kubonakala ngokubomvu eshadini lentengo. Umzila uvumela ukuchaza umkhuba wesikhathi esifushane (esifushane). Iwela isilinganiso samanani aphezulu namanani angaphezu kweyesikhathi eside. Uma umugqa uqondiswa phezulu, umkhuba uphezulu, phansi uphansi. Uhlaka olufanayo lomugqa lubonisa isitebe.
• I-Kinjun-Sen iyinhloko esemqoka, okuyiyo, ngezilungiselelo ezijwayelekile eshadini, eluhlaza okwesibhakabhaka. Lona umugqa wesikhathi eside wendabuko, ebalwa ngokusekelwe ezinkathini ezingu-26 zesikhathi. Ukuchazwa komugqa kufana ne-Tenkan-Sen.
• I-Senkou-spen A ingaphakathi phakathi kwe-Kinjun-Sen ne-Tenkan-Sen. Ishintshwe phambili ngobukhulu besigaba sesikhathi sesibili. Kuboniswa egrafu ngombala wesihlabathi.
• I-Senkou-spen B yikhombisi yamanani ejwayelekile okwesithathu isikhathi. Ishintshwe phambili ngevolumu yesikhathi sesibili. Ishadi linebala elibomvu elibomvu.
• I-Chikou-spen ibonisa inani lapho ibha yamanje livaliwe khona. Umugqa ushintshwe ivolumu yesikhathi sesibili. Igrafu inombala oluhlaza.

Izinketho zokusabalalisa

Ifu le-Ichimoku lenziwa yimigudu emibili: i-Senkou Span A ne-Senkou Span B. Ngokuya ngokuqondisa kwendlela yokuhlangana, umbala wefu uqobo uyashintsha. Lapho ishadi lentengo lidlula phezu kwefu, lokhu kubonisa ukunyakaza okuphezulu. Uma intengo ingaphansi kwefu, ukunyakaza okuphansi. Lapho igrafu iphakanyiswa efwini, i-flat ingabonwa emakethe. Phakathi nalesi sikhathi, ukuhweba kuhambisana nezingozi ezinkulu.

Umdali wezinkomba usethe izilungiselelo ezilandelayo: 9, 26 no-50. Yayiqondiswa yimingcele elandelayo.

Ishadi lansuku zonke:

• 9 iyisonto elisebenzayo lesigamu;
• 26 - inani lezinsuku zokusebenza ngenyanga;
• 52 inani lamasonto ngonyaka.

Ishadi lamasonto onke:

• Amasonto angu-9 yizinyanga ezimbili;
• Amaviki angu-26 izinyanga eziyisithupha;
• Amaviki angu-52 - ngonyaka.

Isibonakaliso senziwa lapho kwenzeka ukuthi umugqa wenkomba kanye nomugqa wezindleko uvala. Ngaphezulu kukhona izilungiselelo ezivamile zezilungiselelo. I-indicator iyamukeleka ngokuzivumelanisa ngokwezifiso kumasu othile. Ezandleni zomthengisi ozimisele ukuletha noma iyiphi insimbi yokuhweba ekupheleleni, lolu hlelo lungabonisa umphumela omuhle.

Izilungiselelo ze-Ichimoku

Isimpawu se-Ichimoku sisebenza ngokuhlaziya isimo emakethe ngezilungiselelo ezijwayelekile. Abanye abahwebi basebenzisa ukusetshenziswa kwemigomo emibili: 5, 13 no-26.

Abathengisi bezobuchwepheshe batusa ukusebenzisa ezinye izilungiselelo eziningi:

• Amashadi amaminithi angu-15, amashadi amaminithi angu-30 nehora ngalinye: 15, 60 no-120.
• Ishadi lehora kanye neshadi lamahora angu-4: 12, 24 no-120.
• I-dnevki: 9, 26 no-52.

Njengoba umkhuba wesikhathi eside uye wabonisa, isimiso sokuhweba sika-Ichimoku siqinisekisa ukuthi inzuzo yesikhathi esiphezulu yesikhathi esingaphezu kosuku. Abaqalayo akufanele bashintshe izilungiselelo ze-Ichamoku, njengoba lokhu kuzoshintsha isimo se-system yokuhweba, futhi ukusebenza kwayo kunganciphisa.

Izimpawu ezinkulu zokuvulwa

Isu esithandwayo se-Ichimoku sidinga izikhundla zokuvula lapho intengo iwela umzila we-Senkou-spen B emakethe yokuhweba. Lapho isiqondiso esivela phezulu sifika isignali yokuthengisa. Ngalunye uhlangothi - isignali yokuthenga. Ukukhuliswa kwesignali kwenzeka lapho intengo ishiya ifu.

Ngesikhathi somgubhu, enebubanzi obukhulu befu, isignali yokuthenga itholakele lapho uwela umugqa we-Kinjun-sen ne-Tenkan-Sen line ekuqondeni kusuka ngezansi kuya phezulu emngceleni ophansi wefu. Isimo esiphambene naso isignali yokudayiswa.

Imigqa ye-Ihimoku ingasetshenziswa njengokwesekwa nokuphikiswa. Kuyafaneleka ukucabangela izikhundla ezivulekile ze-rebound kanye nokuphumula. Ukuhlanganiswa kwesibonakaliso nokuhlaziywa kwamakhandlela kubhekwa ngempumelelo . Uma iphethini lenziwa emgudleni wezinkambo zesikhashana esifushane nezesikhathi eside, ezifana ne-pin bar, noma ikhandlela lokumangalisa livela, ungavula ngokuvumelana nemithetho yokuhweba kwamakhandlela .

Ukwakhiwa komkhuba wesikhathi eside

Uhlelo lokuhweba i-Ichimoku likuvumela ukuba ubone ukuthi ukuqala kokunyakaza kwethemikhali okunamandla. Esikhathini lapho umugqa wesikhathi eside wendabuko kanye nomugqa wesikhathi esifushane uzothatha isiqondiso esifanayo nomunye nomzila we-Senkou-Spence, lokhu kuyoba isignali yokwakhiwa kwenhlangano eqinile neyesikhathi eside. Uma ubuyela emuva komunye wemigqa ngesimo esimisiwe, ungakwazi ukwengeza izikhundla. Ngendlela ephakeme, umzila we-Tenkan-Sen kufanele ube nesimo esiphakeme, phakathi - i-Kijun-Sen, nasengxenyeni engezansi yeSenkou-Spen. Ngokunyakaza kwentengo ephansi, ukuhlelwa kwemigqa ephezulu nephansi kumele kuboniswe. I-intersection yemigqa emibili yokuthambekela ngolimi lwabahwebi ibizwa ngokuthi "isiphambano segolide". Lesi esinye sezibonakaliso eziqine kakhulu ukuthi abadlali bezimakethe ezinkulu basebenza ngesikhathi sokuhweba.

Ichimoku njengesisekelo sesistimu yokuhweba

I-Ichimoku Cloud ibonakala ngabadlali abakhulu bezimakethe kuyamangalisa kakhulu. Ukuba khona kwabalandeli kuhlawulelwa inombolo efanayo yabaphikisi bezinto zokuthambekela. Ngendlela ehlanzekile, insimbi ayifuni iphesenti enkulu yenzuzo, endaweni ethile ngaphakathi (30-40%). Izimpawu ezisemqoka zezinkampani zemali zingavamile, zingekho izikhathi ezingu-3-4 ngenyanga.

Uma usebenzisa isibonakaliso njengesisekelo, ukusigcwalisa ngezibonakaliso kwezinye izinkomba bese usebenzisa i-PriceAction, ungafinyelela umphumela omuhle. Kungaba okungcono kakhulu ukwengeza uhlelo lokuhweba ngamazinga. Futhi ekugcineni. Njenganoma iyiphi enye ithuluzi, i-Ichimoku idinga ukuhweba ngesimo. Ukulwa nomakethe akuyona nje engozini kuphela, kugcwele ukulahlekelwa kwediphozi. Ngenxa yalokho, izibonakaliso eziphikisana nomkhuba kufanele zikhishwe. Kulesi sinyathelo, ukuhweba ngama- oda alindile nakho kuvunyelwe . Ukuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo okuphelele kuzosiza ukunciphisa inani lemisebenzi engenzi inzuzo . Ukulandelela amazinga ezithakazelo, ukufakwa kwenqubomgomo yokulinganisa, izitatimende zamakhanda amabhange asezindaweni eziphakathi, ungaphendula ngesikhathi sokuguqula isimo.

Izinzuzo kanye nokuziqhenya kwesistimu

Inzuzo enkulu yeqhinga lingabizwa ikhono lokunquma ngokunembile isimo semakethe: umcibisholo noma umkhuba. Ukunemba kanye nokubona okubonakalayo kweshadi kuvumela ukuba "lume" ingxenye ebalulekile yokuhamba. Imigqa isabela ngokushesha kakhulu ekubukeni kwezimpawu ezintsha emagrafu. Abajwayele ukulibaziseka, njengokuhamba kwamanzi. I-downside kuphela yethuluzi yukuthi uma ifu le-Ichimoku lincane (elincane), akudingeki ukuthi uhambe ngesinye sezibonakaliso. Kulesi simo, uhlelo alusebenzi kahle.

Izincomo zabathengisi abanolwazi

Ukuze uhlelo lweChimoku lunikeze inzuzo enhle-ukulahlekelwa isilinganiso, kubalulekile ukulandela izincomo eziyisisekelo zabahlanganyeli abanamakhono emakethe:

• Ama-Stop Stop Technical kufanele ahlelwe ebangeni kusukela kumaphuzu angu-15 kuya ku-80, kuye ngokuthi yi-pair pair currency. Uma i-euro kanye ne-dollar ukuma okuhle kunamaphesenti angu-15 kuya kwangu-30, ngoba i-pound kufanele ihluke phakathi kwamaphoyinti angu-30 no-80. Le mithetho ihambisana nama-timeframes amancane. Uma ngabe ukuhweba kwenziwa nsuku zonke noma ngeshadi lamasonto onke, ukuhleleka kwe-stop kusimisiwe ezingeni lesithathu noma lesine. Ingafinyelela amaphuzu angu-200.
• Ukuze uvule amadili kulokho okudingayo, ngokusekelwe kumazinga aqinile. Udinga ukukhetha phakathi kwefu lentengo neveli, ucabangela ukhetho oluseduze.
• Inani le-stop order lizoxhomeka ngokuqondile ngenhloso nesikhathi sesikhathi. Inani eliphakanyisiwe lentengo nokulahlekelwa kufanele libe ngu-1 kuya ku-5.
• Uma ukuhweba kuqhutshwa ngesimo, umthamo wokumiswa kwe-stop is 20% kuphela. Ngokuhweba kwe-countertrend, amathuba okuwa "i-moose" ayi-80%.
• Ngaphansi kwezimo kufanele ume ume ngaphakathi kwefu. Ngenxa yokuphatha i-hedge funds, angakwazi ukulimala kalula ngenkathi esesimweni esanele. Ubuncane besilinganiso sezinyawo kufanele kube amaphuzu angu-5 ukusuka kumkhawulo wefu.

Ukuphumelela kokusebenzisa i-Ichimoku ekuhwebeni emakethe ye-Forex kuqinisekiswa nokuthi abahlaziyi bamaziko okusebenzisana bazimisele ukusebenzisa leli thuluzi ukubikezela ukuhamba kwezimbili zemali. Ukubikezelwa kwalesi simiso kwenziwa ngezinjongo zesikhathi eside. Akuvumelekile ukuphuma futhi uvale amadili ovulekile emahoreni angu-24. Ukuze uthole ukuhweba okuphumelelayo, kuzothatha isonto, noma ngaphezulu, ukugcina izikhundla. Ithuluzi lizoletha umphumela ezandleni zalabo abathengisi abangakwazi ukuvimbela imizwa futhi kuthatha ngokungathí sina imithetho yokuphathwa kwemali. Abaqalayo ukuqala ukuhlaziywa kwemakethe nalesi thuluzi akufanelekile, ungakhetha imisebenzi elula yokuhweba.